买什么车最保值

安睡如婴

周末闲来无事 打算发挥下平时工作时做analysis的技能 做了一份各牌汽车的贬值率分析。

本人比较倾向于每5年换车，所以做的事5年的分析，其中残值价格是通过搜索carsales上avg Kms 私人卖车最低价（除去极高公里数的极端情况）再减500计算，同时还参考了red book中当年新车价格。 应该算数据上是比较准确了，但是没有考虑到同型号车改款的情况以及和车厂杀价的因素。

本人极度讨厌Honda，Toyota， Mazda这三个牌子 觉得烂大街了 所以没有加入分析。

列入表格的是本人比较有兴趣的车辆：三菱Pajero， Ralliart， Lancer，斯巴鲁 forester， Impreza， Jeep 大切， 奥迪A4， Q5. 大家自己看表格吧~

数据上看最保值的是
1. 奥迪Q5（持有5年）
2. Jeep 大切（ 持有4年）
3. 三菱 Pajero （持有3年）

表现最差是 三菱Lancer 5年后仅剩 38%， 但是对于购买5年以上的二手车 应该转为最保值 因为前5年把可以跌的价格全部跌完了。

其次是Ralliart， 性能车的通病。

抛砖引玉~~仅供参考

咦 Excel 导入不到 那就算了把~

Kampfer 发表于 2014-9-9 09:03
The logic is flawed.

Q5 is ~$70k new, from the graph Q5 worth 60% ($42k), you lose $28k.

people could afford Lancer dont mean they also could afford Q5, for those people with annual income around 55K, buying a lancer and lossing 13.5K in 5yr could be painful. While for those with annual income more than 100K, buying a Q5 and lossing 28K in 5 years could be accepted.  So your logic is also flawed. People should value this depend on their income level and total asset and I sitll believe dep. should based on the %.

Kampfer 发表于 2014-10-8 14:21
Your question is about "最保值", affordability was not part of the question. As you've said people ...

1. so what's the point comparing them?

didnt u see "列入表格的是本人比较感兴趣的车辆", I can afford Q5 but also very fancy lancer. so the whole comparison is based on cars I interested, but rgardless the price.

2. Which IMO is manipulating data in order to make Q5 sound better than it is

not at all, the only thing I believe in my life is number, so the findings are all based on numbers only.

3. comparison should only be vailded between cars with similar market price.

well, again, "列入表格的是本人比较感兴趣的车辆", do you think a sedan will have the similar price with a SUV, most family prefer sedan+suv, what happened then? Your point is perfect right in business research or a uni essay, but I am talking about famly cars, not the study, relax.